The prediction market newsletter.
Predicted covers the business of prediction markets. The data, the deals and the regulation, in one issue a week. Read by operators, investors and policy people across the industry.
Data
Volumes, market share and the numbers behind Polymarket, Kalshi and the challengers.
Deals
Funding rounds, launches and who is building what.
Regulation
The CFTC, the states and the court fights that decide what these markets can be.
Recent issues.
from the archive
27 JUL 2026Robinhood want more in Prediction MarketsNews Roundup: Robinhood want more contracts, regulation heats up, app data shows sportsbook users are switching, FT investigation finds a $9M Polymarket account nobody will claim. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.
23 JUL 2026The Ice Cream HedgeAn LA ice cream shop is paying 43% of its rent hedging weather contracts. But has the therm 'hedging' now got out of hand?
20 JUL 2026Underdog Open Their Own Exchange, Kalshi Price Compute, and the White House Gets Caught BettingNews Roundup: Underdog go live on their own CFTC-licensed exchange, Kalshi launch forward curves for AI compute, and Trump's teleprompter operator gets caught betting on his words. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.Questions.
What is Predicted?
Predicted is a weekly newsletter about the business of prediction markets. Each issue covers the week's data, deals and regulation, and subscribers get the quarterly State of Prediction Markets report.
What does the newsletter cover?
The companies and markets behind event trading. Polymarket, Kalshi and the challengers, the funding rounds and product launches, and the CFTC, state and court decisions that shape what these markets can be.
How often does it come out?
Weekly. The roundup lands on Mondays.
Is it free?
Yes. The weekly newsletter is free, and the quarterly report is free for subscribers.
