PREDICTED

The business of prediction markets.

Quarterly reports
State of Prediction Markets, Q1 2026 report cover: an illustrated hand holding a crystal ball with a rising market chart

The quarter prediction markets went mainstream.

Read the Q1 report

Recent issues.

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27 JUL 2026Robinhood want more in Prediction MarketsNews Roundup: Robinhood want more contracts, regulation heats up, app data shows sportsbook users are switching, FT investigation finds a $9M Polymarket account nobody will claim. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.23 JUL 2026The Ice Cream HedgeAn LA ice cream shop is paying 43% of its rent hedging weather contracts. But has the therm 'hedging' now got out of hand?20 JUL 2026Underdog Open Their Own Exchange, Kalshi Price Compute, and the White House Gets Caught BettingNews Roundup: Underdog go live on their own CFTC-licensed exchange, Kalshi launch forward curves for AI compute, and Trump's teleprompter operator gets caught betting on his words. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.

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Weekly Newsletters on the Business of Prediction Markets.

About.

Predicted is a newsletter and quarterly report covering the business of prediction markets. Edited by Pet Berisha and researched by Omar El Safy.