PREDICTED

The business of prediction markets.

Quarterly reports
State of Prediction Markets, Q2 2026 report cover: illustrated hands reaching up towards a glowing orb

The quarter prediction markets traded $111 billion.

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Recent issues.

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The Pentagon Bans Staff From Betting on Inside Information26 OCT 2026The Pentagon Bans Staff From Betting on Inside InformationUtah sue Kalshi and Susquehanna, Kalshi pitch Wall Street on CPI futures, and Polymarket fire their marketing chief. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.Is the Fee-Free Era Over for Market Makers?22 OCT 2026Is the Fee-Free Era Over for Market Makers?Polymarket and DraftKings rethink their fees, rebates and incentives.Crypto.com and Novig Sue Missouri Over Sports Contracts19 OCT 2026Crypto.com and Novig Sue Missouri Over Sports ContractsCrypto.com and Novig sue Missouri over sports contracts, Cboe and Robinhood clear the SEC for KPI event contracts, an LA restaurant group hedges its Dodgers risk on Kalshi. Plus, everything else from the week.

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Weekly Newsletters on the Business of Prediction Markets.

About.

Predicted is a newsletter and quarterly report covering the business of prediction markets. Edited by Pet Berisha and researched by Omar El Safy.

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