The archive.

29 issues
Why Does Robinhood Want a Slice of Crypto.com?10 SEP 2026Why Does Robinhood Want a Slice of Crypto.com?Inside Robinhood’s next prediction-market movePolymarket Valuation Hits $21 Billion, Led By Trump Jr.'s 1789 Capital07 SEP 2026Polymarket Valuation Hits $21 Billion, Led By Trump Jr.'s 1789 CapitalNews Roundup: Polymarket's valuation hits $21 billion on a Trump Jr.-backed round, New Jersey asks the Supreme Court to settle prediction markets' biggest legal question, and ParlayX raise $1.25 million for institutional order routing.Let's Talk About The Weather04 SEP 2026Let's Talk About The WeatherInside the weather books at Kalshi, ForecastEx and PolymarketDid The Ninth Circuit Hand Prediction Markets Their Biggest Loss Yet?31 AUG 2026Did The Ninth Circuit Hand Prediction Markets Their Biggest Loss Yet?News Roundup: The Ninth Circuit hands Kalshi its biggest legal loss yet, Alpaca bring Kalshi contracts to 14 million brokerage accounts, and Kalshi partner with The Weather Company.Are Prediction Markets Going Institutional?28 AUG 2026Are Prediction Markets Going Institutional? A new era for prediction markets. Part 1 Cantor Open Kalshi to Institutional Money24 AUG 2026Cantor Open Kalshi to Institutional MoneyNews Roundup: Cantor put Kalshi in front of 3,000 institutional clients, perpetual futures on the S&P 500, and the rise of parlays.Do Parlays Pay the Bills? Part 321 AUG 2026Do Parlays Pay the Bills? Part 3Revisiting the fastest-growing product in prediction markets, and the economics behind them.Kalshi Buy Nasdaq's Surveillance Stack17 AUG 2026Kalshi Buy Nasdaq's Surveillance StackNews Roundup: Kalshi buy the surveillance stack and bring back an ex-CFTC official, JPMorgan debanked Polymarket last year, and regulators move on the sector from four directions.DraftKings and Flutter Both Post Q2 Losses13 AUG 2026DraftKings and Flutter Both Post Q2 LossesDraftKings' Predictions volume hit $11 billion annualised in July. FanDuel Predicts revenue was immaterial, and they're focused on market-making on other exchanges. Polymarket Seeks A $20 Billion Valuation 10 AUG 2026Polymarket Seeks A $20 Billion Valuation News Roundup: Polymarket seek a $20 billion valuation, Utah wins in court, and CME + FanDuel venture finally pulls back. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.The State of Prediction Markets, Q2 2026 [NEW REPORT]06 AUG 2026The State of Prediction Markets, Q2 2026 [NEW REPORT]Prediction markets traded $111 billion in Q2, more than 2024 and 2025 combined. The full report is out today, and it is free.New York Want $36 Billion From Kalshi03 AUG 2026New York Want $36 Billion From KalshiNews Roundup: New York sue Kalshi for $36 billion, IG Group buy Underdog for up to $2.15 billion, the CFTC sue five states, prediction markets post their biggest month ever, and parlays cost Kalshi traders $294 million. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.Robinhood Earn More From Prediction Markets Than Stocks or Crypto30 JUL 2026Robinhood Earn More From Prediction Markets Than Stocks or CryptoEvent contracts hit $156 million in Q2, equating to 20% of trading revenue. Robinhood want more in Prediction Markets27 JUL 2026Robinhood want more in Prediction MarketsNews Roundup: Robinhood want more contracts, regulation heats up, app data shows sportsbook users are switching, FT investigation finds a $9M Polymarket account nobody will claim. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.The Ice Cream Hedge23 JUL 2026The Ice Cream HedgeAn LA ice cream shop is paying 43% of its rent hedging weather contracts. But has the therm 'hedging' now got out of hand?Underdog Open Their Own Exchange, Kalshi Price Compute, and the White House Gets Caught Betting20 JUL 2026Underdog Open Their Own Exchange, Kalshi Price Compute, and the White House Gets Caught BettingNews Roundup: Underdog go live on their own CFTC-licensed exchange, Kalshi launch forward curves for AI compute, and Trump's teleprompter operator gets caught betting on his words. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.Kalshi's Forward Curves Show Prediction Market Potential16 JUL 2026Kalshi's Forward Curves Show Prediction Market PotentialPrediction markets are now building benchmarks for important markets that don't have them. Kalshi Lose New York, Wall Street Bans Bets, and Polymarket Wants Leverage13 JUL 2026Kalshi Lose New York, Wall Street Bans Bets, and Polymarket Wants LeverageNews Roundup: Kalshi's court winning streak ends in Manhattan, Goldman ban staff from betting on finance, and Polymarket file to bring margin trading to the US. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.DraftKings Go Solo, Spotify's Rigged Charts, and a Senate Ban Bill08 JUL 2026DraftKings Go Solo, Spotify's Rigged Charts, and a Senate Ban BillNews Roundup: DraftKings launch their own exchange, a Kalshi trader catches Spotify chart fraud, and Congress takes its first bipartisan swing. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.Meta Want Prediction Markets. Why?02 JUL 2026Meta Want Prediction Markets. Why?Zuckerberg ordered a prediction market app. For Meta? It is a good engagement toy and a bad business.Polymarket Gets Probed,  Kalshi's $40bn Raise, and Zuck Wants PM 29 JUN 2026Polymarket Gets Probed, Kalshi's $40bn Raise, and Zuck Wants PM News Roundup: The regulators and the courts come for Polymarket. Kalshi are in talks to raise at a $40bn valuation. And Meta may be building their own PM. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.Robinhood Enters the Chat25 JUN 2026Robinhood Enters the ChatThe tech giant's prediction market product is picking up momentum... with a 20x increase in contracts traded in June. And it's all thanks to the World Cup. Why Don't Prediction Markets Pay You Sooner?18 JUN 2026Why Don't Prediction Markets Pay You Sooner?Live sports move in minutes, but settlement takes hours. How does that work for prediction markets?A Bar in New York and a Spanish Football Club Hedge Their Future12 JUN 2026A Bar in New York and a Spanish Football Club Hedge Their FutureHedging with Prediction MarketsHow Big Is Kalshi's Combo (Parlay) Market, Really?05 JUN 2026How Big Is Kalshi's Combo (Parlay) Market, Really?Kalshi launched its exotic combo (parlay) product on NFL opening day, September 17, 2025. In eight months, it processed $1.42 billion in handle from 30+ million trades. Do Parlays Pay the Bills?14 MAY 2026Do Parlays Pay the Bills?Kalshi launched Combos (parlays) in September 2025. By April 2026 they were 22% of platform volume. Everyone's a Loser07 MAY 2026Everyone's a LoserWSJ say that 67% of Polymarket profits go to just 0.1% of accounts. But what does this actually mean?Who is the Customer? 30 APR 2026Who is the Customer? We're in a prediction markets supercycle. And everyone wants to intergrate them. But who is the customer?Sports Trading Platform Novig Raise $75M Series B02 MAR 2026Sports Trading Platform Novig Raise $75M Series B